江西省11市“四化”耦合协调发展水平测度

A measurement of development level of coupling coordination between industrialization,informationization urbanization and agricultural modernization of 11 cities in Jiangxi Province

工业化、信息化、城镇化与农业现代化是推动区域经济可持续发展的战略选择。以江西省2003-2012年11个地级市为例,对其"四化"耦合协调发展进行了定量测算,并利用面板数据回归模型检验了"四化"耦合协调发展的影响因素。结果表明:江西省11个地级市的"四化"耦合协调度在波动中缓慢上升,2012年大部分地区属于初级协调及以下水平;"四化"各子系统的低水平发展导致"四化"耦合协调水平偏低;11个地级市"四化"的耦合协调度存在空间差异,但其差异在逐年缩小;固定资产投入、产业结构的优化、科技投入和教育水平对"四化"耦合协调发展具有积极的影响,而金融支持对耦合协调度的作用并不显著。

The coordination development of industrialization, informationization, urbanization and agricultural modernization is to promote the strategic choice for the sustainable development of regional economy. Taking 11 cities of Jiangxi Province in 2003 -2012 for example, this essay quantitatively measures the four modernizations coupling coordination development and test coupling the influence factors of the coordinated development of four modernizations. The results show that： during the study periods, the coupling coordination degree of 11 cities of Jiangxi Province slowly rising in waves, the overall level is generally low; there is spatial differenee in coupling coordination