卢布贬值的原因及未来展望——基于经济全球化背景下汇率变动研究

The Reason of Devaluation of the Ruble and Future Prospect-- Based on the background of economic globalization

卢布暴跌,震动世界经济。国际油价下跌、欧美联合经济制裁、对卢布的做空投机等原因一轮又一轮冲击着卢布与俄罗斯经济体系。还没有完全从2008年的全球经济危机中恢复过来的俄罗斯,面对卢布暴跌行情采取了一系列经济措施及行政干预,但救市效果却和决策层预想的相距甚远。目前,俄罗斯经济遭遇重创,通胀压力加剧,国内政治、经济形势严峻,危机一触即发。中国应积极准备,应对可能产生的不利影响。

Ruble crash is shaking the world economy. International oil prices fall, combined with European and American economic sanctions, against the ruble short speculative reasons take turns hitting the ruble and the Russian economy. Not yet fully recovered from the 2008 global economic crisis, faced with menacing ruble market slump, Russia has taken a series of economic measures and administrative intervention. But the result was not what the decision-makers envisioned. Currently, the Russian economy suffered heavy losses, infl ationary pressures exacerbating, domestic political and economic situation is grim. Crisis erupts at any time. In this case, China should actively prepare to deal with possible adverse effects.