基于多步变权组合法的我国国内旅游人数预测

Forecasting Domestic Tourists Based on the Method of Multi-step Variable Weight Combination

该文提出了多步变权重组合预测方法,综合考虑多种单项模型,对我国国内旅游人数进行了分析与预测,研究结果表明所提出的组合预测方法比单项预测方法更加科学合理,具有可行性。

This article has presented the method of multi-step variable weight combination forecasting by considering many individual models. In order to analysis and forecast the number of domestic tourists. The research result shows that the proposed combination forecast method is more reasonable and scientific than each individual model. And it is also feasible.