基于路网容量的商圈停车需求预测研究

Forecasting Research of Business Circle Parking-Demand Based on Capacity-of-Network

分析商圈停车、交通拥堵与商圈持续繁荣的关系,商圈停车需求预测对商圈的可持续发展起着重要作用。为合理预见与科学估算商圈停车需求,结合路网容量、区位关系提出基于路网容量的停车需求预测模型。该模型一方面能平衡区域停车供需,缓解静态设施供需矛盾;另一方面能保证停车需求与路网容量相匹配,对动态交通起到必要的控制作用,缓解商圈周边路网的交通拥堵。最后,通过实例分析证明该模型的可行性。

Analyzed the relationship between business circle of parking trafticjam and the prosperity ,traffic congestion paly the vital role for the business circle continuing boom in sustainable .In order to estimate and reasonable foresee ability the business circle of parking demand ,this paper proposed demand forecasting model based on road network capacity and regional relationship .On the one hand ,the model can balance relationship of parking supply and demand ,alleviate the contradiction between supply and demand of static facilities ;on the other hand can guarantee parking demand match with road network capacity ,the necessary control action to dynamic traffic ,alleviate business circle network traffic congestion .At last ,through a case analysis confirmed the feasibility of the model .