自由贸易协定对我国货物贸易出口规模与出口结构变动的影响

Study on Impact of Changes of Scale and Structure in Export Merchandise Goods in China under FTA

利用1996-2012年面板数据,实证研究了自由贸易协定(FTA)对我国货物贸易出口规模与出口结构变动的影响。研究发现:自由贸易协定对扩大我国货物贸易出口规模与改善货物出口结构均具有一定影响,且这种影响会随时间的变化而变动。自由贸易协定签署初期,我国与贸易伙伴之间的贸易流量(贸易规模)出现较明显增长,之后趋于平稳;同时,自由贸易协定显著改善了我国货物贸易出口结构,但不同自由贸易协定对不同类别货物的出口结构影响不尽相同。

The study showed that the FTAs had an impact both on the expansion of China＇s export scale of the goods and the improvement of its structure. What＇s more, the influence of FTA would change with time. On one hand, there was a significant growth in the trade scale between China and its partners in the early stage of the signature of FTAs, and then it became stable; On the other hand, the FTAs significantly improved the structure of China＇s export of the goods, but the impact varied with different FTA on different export structure and categories of goods.