摘要
识别能源结构调整对CO2排放的定量影响可以为评估国家相关温室气体控制政策提供数理工具。首先基于中国的实际能源结构,对不同能源的标准煤CO2排放系数进行了测算和适用范围界定,在此基础上,定量分析了中国"十一五"期间能源结构调整对CO2排放的影响,指出了中国节能措施和能源结构调整措施对CO2排放影响的贡献率。通过对能源结构调整与CO2排放的敏感性定量测算,可知非化石能源替代煤炭具有最佳的CO2排放降低效益。在定量分析基础上,提出了基于能源结构的降低CO2排放的针对性措施和政策建议。
Identification of the quantitative impact of energy restructuring on CO2 emission could be used as mathematical tool for assessing relevant policies of greenhouse-gas control in China.Based on China＇s energy structure,emission coefficients of standard coal equivalent（SCE）about different energy sources had been firstly calculated and the corresponding application areas were defined.Then,quantitatively investigation was made to find out the impact of energy restructuring on CO2 emission during the＂11th Five-Year＂period,as well as the contribution rate of energy-conservation measures and energy restructuring on CO2 emission.Through calculating sensitivity of CO2 emission change caused by energy restructuring,it was indicated that replacement of non-fossil energy sources with coals leads to the best reduction efficiency of CO2 emission.Specific methods and policies on energy restructuring were finally proposed to reduce CO2 emission according to the results previously obtained.
出处
《环境污染与防治》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2015年第3期16-21,共6页
Environmental Pollution & Control
基金
环境保护公益性行业科研专项(No.201309068)
