中国旅游产业与城镇化耦合协调发展评价研究

A Study on the Coupling Coordination Evaluation between Tourism Industry and Urbanization of China

旅游产业已经成为推动城镇化发展的主导力量之一,城镇化也为旅游产业的发展提供了重要支撑,二者的互动作用日趋明显,并已引起学术界的关注。若要深入研究二者的互动作用,首先应该理清二者的现存关系状态。因此以旅游产业与城镇化的耦合协调发展为研究内容,选取中国31个地区为研究对象,深入剖析1995-2012年旅游产业与城镇化耦合协调发展状况。结果显示:1995-2012年间,中国的城镇化平均水平总体高于旅游产业平均水平,其中1995-2002年城镇化水平一直低于旅游产业水平;2003-2012年,除2005年与2007年外,城镇化水平一直高于旅游产业水平。从协调状态来看,1995年旅游产业与城镇化处于中度协调状态,其余年份都处于良好协调状态。从耦合度来看,旅游产业与城镇化的耦合关系逐渐向高度耦合演化,18年间经历了从勉强耦合、低度耦合、中度耦合到高度耦合的过程。

The tourism industry has become one of the leading forces on promoting the development of urbanization, and urbani- zation also provides an important support for the development of the tourism industry. The interaction of both two is becoming obvious, which has drawn attention of the academic field. And it needs to clear the relationship of both two before researching on the interaction deeply. Therefore, the paper takes on the coupling coordinated development between tourism industry and urbani- zation as the content, selects 31 regions in China as the research object, and analyses coupling coordinated development of both two from 1995 to 2012 in-depth. The results show that the average level of urbanization is higher than tourism industry. The level of urbanization is always lower than tourism industry from 1995 to 2002, and except 2005 and 2007, the level of urbanization is higher than tourism industry from 2003 to 2012. From sight of the coordination state, the tourism industry and urbanization is in the moderate coordination state in 1995,and the rest years are in good states. From sight of the coupling degree, the coupling re- lationship between tourism industry and urbanization is gradually to the highly coupling, and it experienced the processes from barely coupling, low coupling, moderate coupling to highly coupling in 18 years.