外来游客流入的就业溢出效应分析

Study on Employment Spillover Impact from Tourism Inflows

外来游客流入多少才能刺激地区产业部门的就业增长?由于目前旅游统计体系缺少外来游客量统计数据,将星级饭店出租床位数作为外来游客流入量的替代变量,建立外来游客流入就业溢出效应测度模型,利用2006—2012年中国31个省区的数据,采用包括GMM动态面板模型在内多种估计方法,测度外来游客流入就业溢出效应。结果表明,每个地区每天增加1个单位(1000个床位)出租床位数,在各非餐饮住宿产业平均增加0.043%—0.102%的就业机会。

How much economic impact did tourism provide by generating jobs in various local industry sectors Due to the lack of statistical data of tourist inflow in the current tourism statistical system, the authors established the employment spillover function in a non - catering accommodation industry, using the number of star - hotel beds sold. Using the data across 31 provinces in China during 2006-2012, this paper analyzed the impact of tourism inflows - peroxide by the number of star - hotel beds sold - on the employment using various estimators including GMM - based dynamic pan- el methods. The results showed that an additional 1000 beds sold per day during a year in a given province would push 0.043 % - 0.102 % employment increase in non- catering accommodation industry.