工业化进程与农户粮食作物土地投入行为实证研究——基于协整检验、误差协整模型和格兰杰因果检验

Empirical research on industrialization and the farmers' land investment behavior, based on co-integration test, error cointegration model and Granger causality

运用计量经济学软件Eviews5.0对1986～2009年的工业总产值和农户土地投入方面的数值进行实证分析.结果表明,工业化与农户粮食作物土地投入之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系;随着工业化的发展,农户用于粮食种植的土地面积有逐渐减少的趋势;工业化发展是农户减少粮食作物土地投入比重的格兰杰原因.

Empirical analysis on gross value of industrial output and farmers＂ land investment data in1986-2009 was conducted by using Eviews5.0. There is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between industrialization and farmers＂ grain land investment. With the development of industrialization, the grain planting area of farmer will be gradually reduced, and the industrialization development is the Granger reason for reducing grain land input.