摘要
城镇化是经济发展的重要推动力,与国家的经济社会发展有着密切关系。城镇的形成和发展会产生土地需求,产业结构与基础设施等因素也会影响城镇化进程。作者基于中国31个省级行政区11999年~2011年的面板数据,首先对各地区的城镇化率指标进行聚类分析,进而将全国分为四类区域,然后利用变截距面板数据模型对中国城镇化的影响因素进行了实证分析。研究结果表明,在不同经济发展阶段,土地供应对城镇化的影响不同,在经济高速发展阶段,城镇化受土地供应的影响效果更为显著;产业结构在不同时期对城镇化的影响效果不同;基础设施建设对促进落后地区的城镇化发展尤为重要。
Urbanization is an important driving factor for economic development. Urbanization results in large land demand,and its progress also depends on the industrial structure and infrastructure. Based on the 1999- 2011 panel data of 31 regions in China,this paper firstly divided the whole country into four economic regions through clustering analysis. Then an empirical study on the factors of urbanization was taken based on a panel data model. The results show that land supply and industrial structure produce different effects on urbanization in different period of economic development,especially land supply plays the most significant role on promoting urbanization in the period of rapid development. As regards to the underdeveloped regions,the improvement of local infrastructure is an effective measure to improve urbanization.
出处
《城市与环境研究》
2014年第2期25-35,共11页
Urban and Environmental Studies
基金
国家自然科学基金项目"中国物价调整和变动的微观证据与特征分析"(批准号:71173149)
国家自然科学基金项目"新兴市场经济波动分析"(批准号:71473169)
国家自然科学基金项目"结构宏观经济模型的估计与评价"(批准号:71473168)
关键词
土地供应
城镇化
产业结构
面板数据
land supply
urbanization
industrial structure
panel data