摘要
中国就业问题的解决需利用其与国际因素如贸易、汇率、外资等关系。本文从总需求和总供给均衡的角度用SITC面板数据回归1981到2011年就业量与对外贸易量、汇率、外商投资之间的关系,分析表明出口的提高和人民币的贬值总体上能促进就业量的增加,进口没有显著影响,而外商投资则会抑制就业。因此,政府应致力于提高生产技术以提高出口,而不需要刻意抑制进口,对人民币保持浮动管理使其不出现大幅度升值,不鼓励盲目引进外资。
China should improve employment by making use of International Trade, FDI and Exchange rate. This paper mainly studies how China's international trade, exchange rate and foreign investment influence the quantity of employment with SITC Panel model from the view of balance of aggregate demand and aggregate supply. And it shows that export and the depreciation of RMB can improve the employment; the degree of dependence on import doesn't have obvious significance; foreign investment can decline the employment. So Chinese government should turn to improve the production technology in order to increase exports ratner than introduce the foreign capital blindly. And it's not necessary for the government to curb imports but manage the RMB exchange rate in a floating band.
出处
《广东外语外贸大学学报》
2015年第1期39-43,共5页
Journal of Guangdong University of Foreign Studies
基金
教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目"国际金融危机后全球需求结构变化研究"(11JZD021)的研究成果之一
关键词
就业
对外贸易
外商投资
汇率
SITC
employment
foreign trade
foreign investment
exchange rate
SITC