碳政策约束下考虑损失规避的企业生产和减排策略

Loss Aversion Considered Enterprise Production and Emissions-reduction Strategy with Carbon Policy Constraint

基于制造商损失规避决策行为,研究碳限额与交易环境策略和不确定需求下的生产和减排决策问题。分别分析了风险中性和损失规避下,碳政策下考虑减排行为、碳政策下不考虑减排行为、不考虑碳政策且无减排行为三种情况下的最优决策,并分析了损失规避行为对决策的影响。研究表明:碳减排为企业提供了一种提高产量和收益的有效途径,而在损失规避下,制造商的减排决策与决策行为无关,而只与环境策略和自身减排成本有关;对于最优生产量,在一定条件下,损失规避制造商的最优生产量低于风险中性制造商的最优生产量,而且随着损失规避系数的增加,损失规避制造商会逐步减少生产量,期望效用下降。

In this paper, based on the risk averse behaviors of the manufacturers, we studied their production and emissions reduction under uncertain demand with carbon footprint constraint, analyzed respectively the optimal decisions for three scenarios and then considered the influence of the loss averse behaviors on the decision-making of the manufacturing enterprises. At the end, we elaborated on the findings.