两型社会背景下湖南页岩气定价影响因素研究

Study on the Affecting Factors of Prcing of Hunan Shale Gas in the Background of the Two-oriented Society

湖南贫煤、缺油、无常规气,但页岩气资源丰富,其勘探开发有利于湖南两型社会的建设。为加速湖南页岩气的勘探开发,页岩气定价影响因素与定价机制问题急需解决。系统研究了影响湖南页岩气定价的主要因素,并基于层次分析法探讨了这些影响因素的相对影响程度。研究结果表明影响湖南页岩气定价的因素包括页岩气开采成本、页岩气运输成本、可替代能源的价格、环境可承受能力、页岩气自身的环境效益、季节的变动、国家政策等。层次分析法研究结果表明页岩气开采成本对湖南页岩气定价影响最大,其次是运输成本和可替代能源价格。

There are abundant shale gas resources in Hunan,although it is scarce in coal,oil and conventoral gas. Exploration and development of shale gas is in favor of two-oriented society construction in Hunan. To accelerate the exploration and development of shale gas in Hunan, shale gas pricing factors and pricing mechanism need to be addressed urgently. This paper has systematically investigated the main factors affecting Hunan shale gas pricing, and the relative impact of these factors by AHP method. The results show that pricing factors of shale gas in Hunan include the cost of shale gas exploration, shale gas transportation costs, the price of alternative energy,environmental affordability, environmental benefits of shale gas,seasonal variation and the national policy. The AHP research results show that the cost of shale gas exploration in Hunan has the greatest effect on the shale gas pricing,followed by transportation costs and alternative energy prices.