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岩溶隧道突水突泥预报综合评估 被引量:18

Comprehensive Assessment of Prediction of Water and Mud Bursting in Karst Tunnel
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摘要 基于层次分析法建立岩溶隧道突水突泥预报综合评估的模型,分析发生突水突泥的地质因素、综合预报方法及预报解译因素,通过对它们之间联系的剖析,研究各项预报解译因素在评估突水突泥中的影响权值,根据不同预报解译因素的评价,结合其在整个评估体系的影响权值,得到被评估段落的突水突泥的综合评估结论。研究表明,基于层次分析法的评估可以灵活系统的根据综合预报的各项解译因素,综合评估岩溶段落突水突泥发生的可能性,可灵活应用于动态实时综合预报评估。 A model is established for comprehensive evaluation of prediction of water and mud bursting in karst tunnel based on AHP to analyze geological factors for water and mud bursting, the comprehensive prediction and forecast interpretation. With the analysis of interaction between them, the interpretation of various factors is studied to assess the impact weight of water and mud bursting. According to the evaluation of different forecast interpretations together with the impact weight of the entire assessment system, comprehensive assessment conclusions are obtained from the assessed section. Studies show that hierarchy-based assessment can be used for comprehensive forecast interpretation of various factors, to assess the possibility of water and mud bursting in karst section, and to assess dynamically the prediction in real-time .
作者 舒森
出处 《铁道标准设计》 北大核心 2015年第4期72-79,共8页 Railway Standard Design
关键词 岩溶隧道 突水突泥 综合评估 层次分析法 Karst tunnel Water and mud bursting Comprehensive assessment Analytic Hierarchy- based assessment
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