农户农产品安全生产意愿的主要影响因素分析

Analysis of Factors Influencing Farmers' Willingness for Safety of Agricultural Production

基于河南、山东、江苏、浙江、黑龙江等5个典型农业生产省份的100个行政村986个农户的微观面板数据。运用二元Logistic模型计量分析了影响农户安全生产行为的主要因素。研究表明:由农户生产行为意愿的估计结果显示,在显著性水平比较高的变量中,年龄、婚姻状况、打工经历、农户家庭土地规模、家庭农业生产农产品主要用途、农药价格等对农户安全生产行为有正向影响,而农业经营者的性别、农户家庭人口、农户家庭年收入、主要农产品的预期售价等影响不显著。农户家庭农业收入所占比重对农户安全生产行为的影响比较复杂,在不同的层次上表现出不同的显著水平。

Based on the micro panel data of 986 households in 100 administrative villages of five typical agricultural production provinces of Henan,Shandong,Jiangsu,Zhejiang and Heilongjiang,this paper explores farmer subjective cognition,attitude and behavior towards safety of agricultural production by using binary Logistic model.The results show that the factors like farmers＇ age,marital status,work experience,land size,agricultural production primary use,prices of pesticides have positive impact on farmers＇ behavior of production safety,while farmers＇ gender,family size,family income,expected price of main agricultural products are not significant.The proportion of income from farming in family＇s total income has complex influence on farmers＇ safety behavior,which shows different significance at different levels.