影响信息服务业产出能力的因素研究：基于广东的实证分析

A Research on Factors Affecting the Output Capacity of Information Services:An Empirical Analysis Based on Guangdong Province

信息服务业作为经济社会发展中的重要基础性行业,其地位和重要性逐渐引起人们的重视。本文构建了静态和动态计量模型,以广东省为例,对影响信息服务业产出能力的因素进行了实证分析。研究发现:在将开放度作为解释变量的模型中,开放度、劳动生产率、固定资产投资都对广东省信息服务业的产值具有正向的促进作用。值得注意的是,开放度和劳动生产率的系数都显著为正,而固定资产投资的系数虽然为正,但不显著。这从侧面提示我们,在某些需要高资本投入、高技术含量的行业,依靠投资拉动增长的传统模式已越来越缺乏力。

Accompanying an increasingly strong trend of the information technology nowa- days, information service has become an important basic industry for the society develop- ment, and its status and importance have gradually attracted people＇s attention. In this pa- per, taking Guangdong province for an example, we built a static model and a dynamic model to analyze the factors having effect on the output capacity of the information serv- ices. The paper found that openness, labor productivity and investment in fixed assets have positive effect on the information services＇ output capacity in the model including openness as an explanatory variable. It is worth noting that both coefficients of openness and labor productivity are significantly positive while the coefficient of investment in fixed assets is non-significantly positive. This prompted us that the traditional investment-led growth model has increasingly lacked the force in some industries requiring high capital investment and high-tech. To further promote the openness and accelerate the output capacity of the informa- tion services in Guangdong province, this paper advises to approach the task from laws of mar- kets, regional cooperation, supporting measures and new forms of information services.