摘要
本文在对2014年国际油价走势进行回顾的基础上,认为2015年第一季度全球经济或延续缓慢复苏的态势,但全球原油供给供大于求的态势保持不变。综合各种风险因素,预计2015年第一季度Brent原油均价为45-55$/bbl,WTI原油均价为40-50$/bbl。而地缘政治因素将是决定2015年第一季度油价波动的主要因素。
Based on the review of crude oil price in 2014, this paper considers that global economy would experience a slow reviving process in the first quarter of 2015, but the oversupply situation of world oil markets could not be changed recently. While considering the combination of risk factors, Brent crude oil price may be 45-555/bbl, WTI crude oil price may be 40-505/bbl. It is also noted that the geopolitics will become a principle factor to influence the fluctuation of oil price in the first quarter of 2015.
出处
《中国能源》
2015年第3期34-37,共4页
Energy of China
关键词
原油价格
预测
石油市场
Crude Oil Price
Forecast
Oil market
