城镇化植根于农村的动力机制——从村镇调查到假设及其验证

A Study on The Dynamic Mechanism of Urbanization Rooted in The Countryside——From The Investigation of Villages and Towns to The Hypothesis and its Verification

本文以揭示城镇化植根于农村的动力机制为核心问题,采用"生产体系—社会体系—价值体系"为基本分析跨度。基于村镇调研的感性素材,对城镇化大潮作自下而上的观察分析发现,如果孩子上学、婚嫁都指向城镇,那么这两点也就成了来自农村的两个城镇化动力源。对假设的分析和验证表明,分散的原子化村庄难以有效组织现代生产体系。为了实现核心家庭的幸福追求,在这类村庄会表现出"离开农村"的力量要远大于"留在农村"的力量。本文研究表明,农村教育的变迁和农村婚姻的变迁就是导致这两种力量消长的基本条件,并且有着丰富具体的动力机制。

The core problem of this paper is the dynamic mechanism of urbanization rooted in the countryside, and the 'production system- social system- value system' is the basic analysis of span. Based on the perceptual material from the investigation of villages and towns, and observation the urbanization bottom-up, we will find that if the education and weddings of children are pointing to the town, so these two points will be the two power sources of urbanization rooted in rural areas. Analysis and verification of hypothesis show that it's difficult for the decentralized villages to organize effectively modern production system. In order to achieve happiness of the core family, the power of 'fled the countryside' will much greater than the power of 'stay in the countryside' in these decentralized villages. In this paper, our research has shown that the changes of the rural education and rural marriage lead to the growth and decline of the two forces, it also has a complicated dynamic mechanism.