我国国有石油公司天然气业务国际竞争力研究——基于AHP—灰色关联度模型

Research into Natural Gas Business International Competitiveness of China's Oil Companies Based on AHP—Grey Correlation Model

基于开展天然气业务国际竞争力影响指标的定性分析,构建了对竞争力指标定量计算的AHP—灰色关联模型,通过计算得出各指标具体的影响强度,分析了我国三大石油公司在不同指标上存在的竞争力差距。结果表明:中石油在勘探开发方面竞争实力很大,与国外三大主要石油公司的差距不明显,在天然气储备量方面竞争实力比其他石油公司都强;中石化在市场竞争力和生产运营方面竞争实力最强,是国内主要炼化企业,其生产运营规模也最大;中海油从整体来说竞争实力弱于中石油和中石化,但在开展天然气业务中,其上游的勘探开发具有最大的发展潜力。

The AHP—gray correlation model for the qualitative calculation of competitiveness indices was constructed based on the qualitative analysis of the natural gas business international competitiveness.The gaps between competitiveness indices of China＇s three major oil companies were analyzed by calculating the impact intensity of each specific index.The results showed that China National Petroleum Corporation（CNPC）was dominant in terms of natural gas reserves and equivalent to the major foreign companies in terms of natural gas exploration and development;China Petrochemical Corporation（Sinopec）,a major petrochemical company with large-scale production and operation,was dominant in market competitiveness;China National Offshore Oil Corporation（CNOOC）was,as a whole,inferior to CNPC and Sinopec,but its upstream exploration and development had the greatest development potential.