农民合作社在村庄选举中的影响效力研究——基于甘肃省15个村庄的调查

Evaluation Research on Farmers Cooperatives' Influence on Village Committee Election——Based on Surveys on 15 villages of Gansu Province

农民合作社作为新兴的农村组织,除了在经济领域对推进农业产业化和提高农民收入发挥了重要作用,同时也对乡村政治格局产生了巨大影响。目前,我国各地正在分批进行村委会换届选举,基于甘肃省15个村庄村委会选举的调研数据,采用模糊综合评价模型,结合层次分析法,测度农民合作社在村委会选举中的影响效力,利用对比差距法与其他群体进行比较分析。研究发现,农民合作社对村委会选举的影响效力高于宗族势力,而"农民合作社+宗族"群体的加成效应使其影响效力更强,农民合作社已经成为影响村庄选举和乡村治理的重要新兴力量。

As an emerging rural organization group, farmers cooperatives not only promote the agriculture industrialization and increase farmers＇ income, but also make a tremendous impacts on the rural political pattern. At present, a new round of the village committee elections is taking place throughout China, this study used a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model and analytic hierarchy process （AHP） to evaluate farmer cooperatives＇ influence on committee election based on data collected from15 villages in Gansu Province. Moreover, by using a contrast gap method and compared with other groups, authors found that farmer cooperatives＇ impact was higher than traditional clans＇ , however, the group named ＇farmer cooperative ＋ clan＇ had an significantly higher influence than the above single ones. There is no doubt that farmer cooperatives have become an important forcing group in the process of both village committee election and rural governance.