我国肉鸭产业布局分析——基于2010-2013年全国21个肉鸭主产区的面板数据

Study on Layout of Duck Industry in China——Based on Panel Data in 21Main Duck Areas from 2010to 2013

采用区位商、市场份额、辅助斯皮尔曼相关系数法,对我国肉鸭产业布局进行研究。结果表明:我国肉鸭产业布局可划分为四大类型,分别为以山东、广东为首的高区位商、高市场份额区,以北京、重庆为首的高区位商、低市场份额区,以湖南、河南为首的低区位商、高市场份额区,以湖北、安徽为首的低区位商、低市场份额区;同时,我国肉鸭产业布局也呈现出三足鼎立态势,形成分别以山东、江苏、广东为核心的三大核心产业圈;另外,我国肉鸭产业在区位商与市场份额层面所反映的差异化较大,其与地区经济总量、产业规模、技术与政策投入、产业化经营水平有较大的正相关性,与水资源条件呈弱负相关性。据此本文提出:四大类型区域发展要做到扬长避短,积极进行区域间优势互补性合作;要突出三大核心产业圈的重点布局,积极推进产业化经营,加强沟通与交流;结合产业差异化特征及原因,规划肉鸭产业的整体发展等建议。

Based on location quotient,market share and Spearman correlation coefficient method,this paper studies the layout of duck industry in China.The result shows that layout of duck industry has four types of areas,namely,areas with high location quotient and high market share led by Shandong and Guangdong provinces,areas with high location quotient and low market share led by Beijing and Chongqing,areas with low location quotient and high market share led by Hunan and Henan provinces and areas with low location quotient and low market share led by Hubei and Anhui provinces.Meanwhile,industrial duck layout in China is also showing three pillars of the situation,that＇s,three core industries circles dominated by Shandong,Jiangsu,Guangdon are formed.In addition,regional differences about location quotient and market share in China＇s duck industry are so big,which has a significant positive correlation with the regional economic aggregate GDP,industrial scale,technology and policy input,industrialization level,and a weak negative correlation with the condition of water resources.Consequently,this paper proposes that firstly,the development of four types of areas should foster strengths and circumvent weaknesses and active cooperation between regions should be promoted;secondly,layout of three core industry circles should be highlighted and industrial management should be actively pushed forward and communication and exchanges should also be strengthened;finally,the overall development of China＇s duck industry should be carefully planned with the combination with industrial difference characteristics and causes.