中国与越南农产品产业内贸易及其影响因素的实证分析

Empirical Analysis of Sino-Vietnamese Agricultural Intra-industry Trade's Influences

自2004年中国—东盟自由贸易区"早期收获"计划实施以来,中越两国农产品贸易额大幅增长,两国农产品贸易之间存在明显的产业内贸易。采用Grubel-Lloyd产业内贸易指数、Bruelhart边际产业内贸易指数和Thom&Mc Dowell水平和垂直产业内贸易指数,对中越两国农产品的产业内贸易水平和结构进行实证研究,在此基础上,对两国农产品产业内贸易细分类型的影响因素人均国民收入差异、区域经济一体化、规模经济、两国间的直接投资进行分析。研究表明:中越两国农产品贸易以产业内贸易为主,且主要是水平型产业内贸易,然而两国农产品贸易的增长却主要是由产业间贸易贡献的。

Since the implementation of＂Early Harvest Programme＂in 2004,agricultural trade volume is increasing significantly and there is an obvious intra- industry trade in the agricultural products trade between China and Vietnam. This paper adopts Grubel- Lloyd intra- industry trade index,Bruelhart marginal intra- industry trade index and Thom Mc Dowell horizontal and vertical intra- industry trade index,and studies the level and structure of intra- industry trade of China and Vietnam＇s agricultural products in empirical methods,on the basis of that,the factors affecting the Segment type of intra- industry trade in China and Vietnam＇s agricultural products were discussed. Studies have shown that agricultural trade is given priority to with intra- industry trade between China and Vietnam,and mainly caused by the horizontal intra- industry trade,but the growth of agricultural trade between the two countries is mainly by way of inter- industry trade.