基于Logit模型的农户病虫害专业化防治意愿及影响因素分析——以镇江市为例

Farmers' Willingness to Accept Specialized Control against Agricultural Diseases and Pests and Its Influencing Factors Based on Logit Model: A Case Study of Zhenjiang City

基于对镇江市农户的实地调查数据,利用多项Logit模型分析了农户病虫害专业化防治意愿及其影响因素。发现:籍贯和年龄对农户专业化防治意愿无显著影响;受教育程度对农户选择"代防代治"和"全程承包"在10%水平上有显著负向影响;家庭务农人数对农户选择"代防代治"和"全程承包"分别在1%和5%水平上有显著负向影响;种植面积对农户选择"代防代治"和"全程承包"均在1%水平上有显著正向影响。

Based on the field survey data of farmers in Zhenjiang city , the author analyzed farmers ’ willingness to accept spe-cialized control against agricultural diseases and pests as well as its influencing factors by using polynomial Logit model .It was found that：the native place and age of farmers had no significant influences on their willingness to accept specialized control against agri -cultural diseases and pests;the educated level of farmers had significant （ P〈0.1） negative influences on their selection of “control-ling agricultural diseases and pests for farmers” and “undertaking the whole field management for farmers”;the farming population in household had significant negative influences on farmer ’ s selection of “controlling agricultural diseases and pests for farmers” and“undertaking the whole field management for farmers” at 1%and 5%level respectively;the cultivated area of farmers had signifi-cant （ P〈0.01） positive influences on their selection .