我国财政对粮食直接补贴的政策绩效评价

Evaluation on Performance of China's Fiscal Policy of Direct Subsidy to Grain Farming

本文结合我国粮食财政直接补贴的政策实践,通过构建粮食财政直接补贴政策绩效的评价指标体系,对评价指标体系做出标准化处理,再运用层次分析法(AHP方法)计算出各指标的权重,然后通过AHP模型对我国粮食财政直接补贴政策的绩效做出综合评价。结果显示:国家实施粮食财政直补前后的政策绩效差异较为明显,粮食直补政策对粮食产量和农民增收具有显著的正相关;因此,未来的粮食安全与农民稳定增收问题仍亟须补贴政策的加强及相关政策的配套和完善。

Combined with the practice of fiscal policy of direct subsidies to grain farming in China, this paper sets up an AHP model （analytic hierarchy process） to evaluate China＇s fiscal policy of direct subsidies to grain farming by establishing an indica- tors system, standardizing evaluation system and calculating the weight of each indicator. The result shows that there is a differ- ence in the fiscal policy performance between direct and indirect subsidies to grain farming and a positive correlation between fiscal policy of direct subsidies to grain farming and grain farming production and farmers＇ income. Therefore, grain farming security and farmers＇ income growing in the future still need strengthening of fiscal policy of direct subsidies and the support of better relevant policies.