基于三角模糊数的化工园区事故应急救援能力评价

Capability Evaluation on Emergency Response Ability for Accidents in Chemical Industry Parks Based on Triangular Fuzzy Number

在化工园区事故风险分析的基础上,以危险化学品泄漏事故为对象,从化工企业、园区自身、外部援助3个责任主体方面分析应急救援能力需求,针对性构建应急救援能力评价指标体系;对评价指标进行分类量化处理,建立风险和应急救援能力之间的联系;基于三角模糊数理论和模糊综合评价理论建立了模糊综合评价模型。通过上述指标体系和评价模型从而达到对化工园区事故应急救援能力综合评价的目的。某化工园区应用实例评估分析结果表明该模型及评价方法具有较强的实用性和借鉴价值。

Based on risk analysis on the accidents in chemical industry park,taking leakage accidents of dangerous chemicals as the object,emergency rescue capacity requirements are analyzed from three responsibility subjects as chemical enterprises,the park itself and external aid to construct an evaluation index system of emergency rescue capability accordingly.Evaluation index are quantitatively classified,and the connection between risk and emergency rescue ability is established.A fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model is established based on triangular fuzzy number theory and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation theory.Comprehensive evaluation on emergency rescue ability of chemical Industry Park accident is achieved by the above mentioned index system and evaluation model.A chemical industry park application example analysis results show that the evaluation model and method have stronger practicability and reference value.