中国同性爱者、同性性行为者和相关女性群体人口数值估测

Estimation on the numbers of Chinese homosexuality and people with same-sex sexual behaviors and related female group

目的:在新的社会人口学和医学背景下,估测中国同性爱者、同性性行为者和相关女性群体人口数量,为当今中国的相关研究提供科学依据。方法:主要根据《2013年中国统计年鉴》提供的人口基数和潘绥铭2010年对中国成年人口的多层等概率性学抽样调查给出的相关数据进行计算。结果:估测我国男同性爱者(包括男双性爱者)总人口极可能明显超过2100万,性活跃期男男性行为者约922.4万;我国女同性爱者总人口可达1200万左右,性活跃期女女性行为者约585.9万;配偶是男同性爱的女性人口数约为1360万,配偶是男男性行为者的女性有近1000万。结论:我国有数量庞大的同性爱者和同性性行为者群体以及相关的女性群体,他(她)们的身心健康亟需医界等学界高度关注,在未来的10几年内,我国“可见的”同性爱者和同性性行为者群体数量会有所增加,而固定伴侣是男同性爱者及男男性行为者的女性数值将不断下降。

Objectives： In the new social demography and medical background,to estimate the numbers of Chinese homosexuality and people with same- sex sexual behaviors and related female groups to provide scientific basis for the related research in China. Methods： According to the population provided by 2013 China Statistical Yearbook and the related data offered by professor Pan＇s ＂ Multilayer equal probability sexology sampling survey about China adult population＂ in 2010,data sample calculation was performed. Results： The total number of Chinese male homosexuality（ including bisexuality） may significantly exceed 21 million. The number of sexually active MSM was about 9. 224 million; the number of female homosexuality in China was up to 12 million. The number of sexually active WSW was about 8. 167 million; there were approximately 13. 6 million female whose spouses were male homosexuality. There were nearly 10 million female whose spouses were MSM. Conclusion： There are huge numbers of homosexuality and people with same- sex sexual behavior and related groups of women in China. Their physical and psychological health need to be paid particular attention by medical community and other related community. In the next ten years,the number of ＂ visible＂ homosexuality and people with same- sex sexual behavior will increase. While the number of female whose fixed sex- partners are male homosexuality and MSM will continue to decline.