浙江省县域旅游经济差异的时空演变分析

The Spatial-temporal Evolution Analysis on Disparities of Tourism Economy at County-level in Zhejiang Province

本文以县域为研究单元,采用标准差、变异系数等古典统计方法和arcgis自然断裂法、ESDA等空间分析技术,分析2004年到2013年浙江省县域旅游经济差异的时空演变特征。结果表明:浙江省县域旅游经济发展水平整体提高的同时绝对差异逐渐加剧而相对差异逐渐减小;旅游经济空间格局由双核式向点轴式转变,由低水平发展区占主体向中、高水平发展区占主体转变;县域旅游经济马太效应明显;县域旅游经济在空间上的分布由随机分布向空间集聚转化;高高集聚区主要集中在浙北地区,低低集聚区主要集中在浙西南地区,且高高集聚区面积不断扩大,低低集聚区面积不断缩小。基于研究结果从旅游资源禀赋、区位条件、经济发展水平等3个方面进行驱动因素分析,进而提出相应的对策。

This paper explores the spatial-temporal evolution of the tourism economy between 2003 and 2010 atcounty-level in Zhejiang based on the traditional statistical research and space data analysis.The results show that, while the overall level of tourism economic development is improved in Zhejiang, the absolute disparities of tourism economic development are increasing and relative disparities are decreasing gradually; spatial structure of tourism economy transfers from the type of dual-nuclei to the type of point-axis. Tourism economy transfers from low level development zone to middle and high level development zone; Matthew effect is found in county tourism economy; spatial distribution of county tourism economy changes from the random distribution to the spatial concentration with ＂high-high area＂and＂low-low area＂in Zhejiang; the formercontinues to expand and the latteris shrinking.Based on the analysis above, the causes of disparities are identifi ed and solutions to narrow the disparities among regions are suggested to make tourism economy develop in coordination.