跨境贸易人民币结算业务与对外贸易关系实证分析

The Empirical Analysis on the Relationship Between the RMB Settlement in Cross-border Trade and the Foreign Trade

文章首先对跨境贸易人民币结算业务发展情况进行分析,在此基础上利用单位根检验、Granger因果检验、协整检验以及误差修正模型对跨境人民币结算业务与对外贸易关系进行实证分析,从而得出跨境人民币结算业务与贸易进口额以及进出口额之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系以及单项的Granger因果关系。

This article first analysis the development situation of RMB settlement in cross-border trade. Then by using the method of the unit root test, Granger causality test, cointegration test and error correction model empirical analysis between RMB settlement in cross-border trade and the foreign trade. Last coming to the conclusion that there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship and Granger causality relationship between RMB settlement in cross-border trade and the foreign trade.