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小汽车方式出行选择行为研究

Research on the Choosing Behavior of Vehicle Travel
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摘要 以上海市交通为研究对象,选取日均出行次数、平均每次出行时间距离等影响因素,建立Logit模型,理清各因素对小汽车方式出行选择的影响程度与显著水平,定量分析小汽车方式出行在各因素条件下的选择概率.在此基础上,采用控制变量法绘制曲线,由弹性分析与边际替代率揭示小汽车方式出行选择行为的动态特性. Taking example of traffic in Shanghai and selecting influence factors such as daily average travel times and the average travel time distance and so on,Logit model is established to clarify the influence degree and the significant level of various factors on the way of vehicle travel choice,and to have a quantitative analysis of the vehicle travel choice probability under the condition of various factors.On this basis,the control variable method is used to draw curves.Elastic analysis and the marginal rate of substitution reveals the dynamic characteristic of the vehicle travel choice behavior.
作者 施杰 江琪
机构地区 同济大学道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室 上海海事大学交通运输学院
出处 《武汉理工大学学报（交通科学与工程版）》 2015年第2期419-422,426,共5页 Journal of Wuhan University of Technology（Transportation Science & Engineering）
关键词 小汽车 影响因素 LOGIT模型 弹性分析 边际替代率 vehicle influence factor Logit model elastic analysis marginal rate of substitution
分类号 U491.4 [交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]
  • 相关文献

参考文献7

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二级参考文献15

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共引文献43

武汉理工大学学报（交通科学与工程版）
2015年 第2期

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