21世纪泰国民主困局与多重挑战

The Predicament and Challenges of Thai Democracy in the New Century

泰国是东南亚最早建立西式民主体制的国家。然而,泰国深陷民主之乱,始终未能建立一套符合本国国情的、稳定发展的民主体制。尤其是21世纪的前14年里,泰国持续不停的动荡局势一直难以平息。泰国民主之乱引发军事政变引发世人关注。稳定是民主机制正常运作的第一前提要素,各派谈判、和解乃是国家长治久安的必由之路。泰国民主要走上稳定发展之路,必须多管齐下,重塑若干重要行为体的角色,加强法治,加强民主政治文化建设。各派必须协同理性推进政治体制改革,未来的新政府必须将平衡各阶层利益分配作为施政的核心任务,用包容性发展来逐渐消除阶层对抗的社会分裂根源。

Thailand is the first country in the Southeast Asia establishing Western style democracy However, Thailand has often been mired into chaos, and failed to establish a stable democracy suited to its national conditions. Especially in the first fourteen years of the twenty-first century, unrest in Thailand has been persistent. As a result, military coups often take place, which attracts worldwide attention. Stability is the prerequisite for the normal operation of the democratic mechanism, and the only way to long-term national stability is negotiation and reconciliation between all the factions. To take on a path of stable development, the Thai democracy must adopt a full range of measures, adjust the behavior of some important parties involved, promote the rule of law, and strengthen awareness of democratic politics. The parties must coordinate to rationally promote political system reform, and the future new government must take balancing the interests of various sectors of society as the core task of its work, and gradually eliminate the root causes of social division and class confrontation through inclusive development.