甘肃省石羊河流域农民家庭生计多样化及其影响因素的实证研究

An Empirical Study of Rural Household Livelihoods Approach Diversification and Its Influencing Factors in Shiyang River Basin, Gansu Province, China

本文基于石羊河流域综合治理的宏观背景,系统考察"限水减地"后农民的生存行动和农民家庭生计途径的多元化趋势。在综合分析全流域农民家庭生计途径变化的基础上,用家庭收入来源多样性佐证农民家庭生计途径的多元化。该研究选取农民家庭纯收入为主线,即以家庭非农纯收入占家庭总纯收入的比重作为反映收入多样化的二元因变量,并作Logistic分析。结果显示:"家庭人口规模"、"水浇地面积"、"从事农作劳动时间"、"粮食产出收入"、"家庭生产开支"5个自变量对流域内农民家庭收入多样化具有显著影响。

Based on the macro-policy background of comprehensive management in the area of Shiyang River basin,thispaper investigated peasant＇s survival actions and their diversity trends of income increasing after which water restriction andarable land reduction. In the paper,we utilized the diversification of income to illustrate the facts of rural households liveli-hoods diversification,which based on systematical analysis the change of peasant livelihood approaches in the whole basin.Further,we used a Logistic Regression Model to analysis the influencing factors of family income diversification. The resultsshowed that five independent factors,such as family size,irrigated land area,engaged in agricultural labor time,income ofgrain output and household production expenditure,had significance and as decisive influences on the diversification ofpeasant＇s family income.