婚姻挤压对中国农村不同群体安全感的影响——基于全国百村调查数据的分析

Influence of the Marriage Squeeze on Sense of Security of Different Groups in Rural China:Based on Analysis of 100 Villages

中国的男性婚姻挤压问题,已成为目前社会转型期的"社会风险"之一,给包括不同婚姻状态下男女两性在内的社会各群体的安全感均带来不利影响,成为影响人口社会可持续发展的隐患。从个人微观层次分析婚姻挤压下农村各群体的安全感现状及婚姻挤压对不同年龄和地区的农村男性安全感的影响发现:农村大龄未婚男性群体的安全感最低,婚姻状况对个人的安全感具有显著影响,婚姻挤压对男性安全感的影响存在显著的时代差异以及地区差异。提高中国农村各群体的安全感需从根本上改善农村各群体的生存状况,统筹解决性别失衡引起的婚姻挤压问题,从国家政策与制度创新的层面关注婚姻挤压及农村各群体的安全感问题。

Marriage squeeze in China has become one of the＂social risks＂in the current social transition period,which brings an adversely effect on the sense of security including groups of different marriage state.It becomes the hidden trouble for social sustainable development and population.From the micro-level analysis of personal sense of security situation and the marriage squeeze effect on security of rural male groups,we found that：The rural bachelors＇ security is the minimum,marital status for personal security has significant effect,and the marriage squeeze＇s effect on male security has the significant difference in the age and area.In order to improve the sense of security of rural groups in China,we should improve the fundamental survival condition of rural groups,solve the gender imbalance caused by the marriage squeeze,and take more concern on issue of marriage squeeze and the security problem of rural groups from the perspective of policy and institutional innovation at the country level.