中国流动人口返乡原因与外出意愿研究——基于安徽、四川、河南、湖南、江西、贵州六省数据的分析

On Migrant Population's Reasons for Returning Home and Will for Flowing Out :An Analysis Based on the Data of Six Provinces( Anhui,Sichuan,Henan,Hunan,Jiangxi and Guizhou)

利用国家卫生与计划生育委员会2014年流动人口卫生计生服务流出地监测调查数据研究发现:流动人口返乡受经济因素和社会因素共同影响。返乡原因因性别、受教育程度有所差异;农村人口是否外出受个人年龄、性别、受教育程度、户口性质、就业状况、流动经历以及家庭收入的影响,但外出地域选择只受个人年龄、性别、受教育程度、就业状况和流动经历的影响;人口迁移流动经历对后续迁移决策具有"累积效应"。

In this paper, we make use of the National Health and Family Planning Committee the floating population family planning service and health monitoring survey data in 2014. In the end research finding： Migrants returning home is not for the economic factors, but for the social factors. Return reason is different from gender, education; The rural population is going to migrate will be affected by individual age, sex, education, household register, employment, migration experience and family contracting land situation, acreage and family income, but the regional selection of migration will only be affected by its individual age, sex, education, employment, and migration experience; The migration experience playing the role of ＂Cumulative Effect＂ in the late migration decision.