大学评价对高校录取分数排名影响的列联分析

Effect of University Evaluation on Admission Scores Ranking Based on Contingency Table Analysis

通过对2008-2012五年间38所"985高校"在武书连和邱均平大学评价中的排名与其在河北省高考录取分数线排名的列联分析,探讨大学评价对高校录取分数排名的影响。大学评价排名与大学录取分数排名存在显著的正相关,即大学排名上升会引起招生质量的提高;大学评价排名对大学录取分数排名的影响会受到招生人数变化的抑制,这种抑制效应会减弱甚至抵消前者对后者的影响;大学评价排名对大学录取分数排名的影响程度对于"名校"而言相对较低。

Through the contingency table analysis of 2008--2012 university ranking and admission scores ranking of 38＂985- college＂in the university evaluation system of Wu shulian and Qiu junping, the paper investigates the effect of university evaluation on university admission scores ranking. There is a significant positive correlation between university evaluation ranking and university admission scores ranking, showing the rise of university ranking will cause the improvement of new student＇s quality. The influence of university evaluation on admission scores ranking can be inhibited by the changes in student enrollment, which will weaken or even offset the influence effect of the former on the latter. The influence degree of university evaluation on admission scores ranking is relatively lower to the elite universities.