中国城市房价对居民消费的影响——基于中国城镇家庭的经验研究

China city house price's influence on citizen consumption——experience research based on China unban family

本文运用2002-2009年的中国城镇住户调查数据,对家庭异质性进行分项研究,并由此得出结论:1平均而言,房价上涨对老年户主的消费影响最大;2对于没有住房的家庭,年轻家庭与年老家庭不会因为房价上涨而额外的改变其非租金消费;3对于有一套房的家庭,依然不会改变老年家庭的非租金消费;4在分析是否有未婚子女特征的家庭中发现,有未婚男性的家庭消费抑制效果基本高于有未婚女性的家庭,但在35-44岁与45-54岁家庭中因未婚男性的因素消费存在相反的效果。总体而言,拥有儿子的家庭其消费抑制效果要高于拥有女儿的家庭。

This paper uses Chinese urban household survey data from 2002 to 2009 to take a sub-studies on- household heterogeneity, and the conclusions show that：①on average, housing price rising has the largest impact on elderly household consumption;②For no hous- ing families, housing price rising won＇t change young household and old household＇s non-rent consumption;③ For families who own only one house,housing price ris- ing still won＇t change old household＇s non -rent con- sumption;④In the analysis of families whether have un- married children, We found the supressed effect of househould comsumption of families who have unmarried men are larger than families who have unmarried women, but for families whose househead are between 35 to 44 and 45 to 54 household consumption has opposite effect due to the unmarried men factor. Overall,the supressed effect of househould who have sons is larger than househouldwho have daughters.