海南省工业废弃物排放的环境库兹涅茨特征分析

Hainan province industry waste discharge environment Kuznets characteristics analysis

基于海南省2000～2012年环境污染指标统计数据和人均GDP统计数据，构建了2000～2012年海南省的环境库兹涅茨曲线。研究表明，海南经济增长与环境污染之间的关系并不都存在标准的环境库兹涅茨曲线特征（倒“U”型）。采用格兰杰因果关系检验模型得知，经济发展是影响环境质量变化的原因之一。

Based on the economic and environmental data of Hainan Province from 2000 to 2012, the environ- mental Kuznets curve （EKC） is established to simulate the relationship between economic development and in- dustrial“three wastes”. The result shows that the curve is not a standard feature. According to the re- sults of granger causality tests, economic development is an important reason for the change of environmental quality. In addition, the corresponding policy and suggestion of promoting harmonious development for Hainan Province is put forward.