比特币会成为货币吗?

Will Bitcoin Become a Currency?

比特币实际上是一种虚拟的投机资产,它不是一种商品货币,也不是一种信用货币,因而它不可能成为国内货币。比特币所具有的"去中心化"、交换价值波动不定、数量无法适应国际经济发展需要等性质和特点,也使它不可能成为国际货币。比特币的命运将取决于各国中央银行的态度以及商家接受比特币的程度。如果比特币对各国金融秩序所造成的不利影响越来越大,各国中央银行决定取缔比特币,比特币将会消失。如果比特币保持释缺性特点,商家愿意接受比特币,比特币交换价值就会趋向上升。在两种因素作用下,比特币有可能在一定范围内长期存在。

Bitcoin actually is a kind of virtual speculative assets which is not a kind of merchandise currency and is neither a kind of fiduciary currency,therefore,it will not become the domestic currency.Moreover,characteristics that bitcoin possess such as 'decentration',instability of its exchange value,and quantity of it could not meet the need of international economic development etc also make it impossible to become an international currency.The fate of bitcoin is determined by the attitude of central banks around the world and the acceptance degree of the businesses.If the negative effects that bitcoin brings to the international financial order continue growing,and the central banks around the world determine to ban it,then bitcoin will disappear.If bitcoin retains its characteristic of scarcity,and the businesses are willing to accept it,then the exchange value of bitcoin tends to rise.Under the influence of the two factors,it is possible for bitcoin to exist for a long time within a certain scope.