中国劳动参与率变动与“后弯的”劳动供给曲线

Change of China's Labor Force Participation Rate and“Backward Bending”Labor Supply Curve

利用19个国家1978—2012年间的面板数据,分别采用长面板模型和动态面板模型对劳动参与率的影响因素进行估计,发现劳动年龄人口比重、失业率、大学毛入学率和人均GDP对劳动参与率的影响非常显著,从而证实"后弯的"劳动供给曲线理论。

This paper adopts the panel data of 19 countries during the period of 1978—2012 and estimates the parameters of the influencing factors of labor force participation rate by using the long panel data model and dynam-ic panel model respectively.It is found that the proportion of working age population,the unemployment rate,gross school enrollment rate of tertiary and per capita GDP have significant affection on labor force participation rate which confirms the “backward bending”labor supply curve.