摘要
在新技术变革的驱动下,大数据已然向外交决策、规划和实践领域渗透。在此背景下,世界一些国家的外交模式正在悄然发生变革,在经验驱动之外,数据驱动正日益成长为一种全新的外交模式;从数字外交向数据外交的激进跃迁,展现了当今时代大数据喷涌而出、势不可挡的社会冲击力,同时也预示了传统的外交理论与外交指导原则可能需要根据技术的进步而加以修正。考虑到大数据的技术特征以处理海量数据、非结构数据和即时数据见长,并以数据可视化作为分析结果展现形式,文章主要考察了大数据兴起对当前外交领域的介入态势及其对外交决策模式的冲击,概述了当前对大数据应用于外交领域的主要争议与若干案例应用,并简要评析了大数据驱动外交模式创新的未来前景与关键障碍。
Driven by the progresses of new technology,big data has permeated into the realm of foreign policy-making,planning and implementation.Against this background,swift but quiet changes have taken place in some countries' diplomatic patterns including ideology,strategy and tactics.Except for experience,data is rapidly becoming another critical driver for the changes in the foreign affairs field.A great transition from digital diplomacy to datadriven diplomacy is happening,which shows the huge impacts of big data on the social life and indicates that the traditional theories and principles governing foreign policy-making need to be reviewed and revised.Given that the advantages of big data lie at processing massive and unstructured data and visualizing analysis results,this paper mainly examines the rising interference of big data into diplomacy and the 'revolution' in the field of foreign affairs driven by big data,summarizes the current debates on big data's application to diplomacy and gives some cases on die use of big data to improve foreign policy making.At the end,this paper makes a brief analysis of the prospects of and obstacles against diplomacy innovation driven by big data.
出处
《欧洲研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第2期130-144,8,共15页
Chinese Journal of European Studies
基金
对外经济贸易大学人才培育项目"网络空间威慑与数字时代的国家安全战略研究"(项目编号:14YQ09)
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目"基于WEB2.0技术的西方国家对华新媒体外交态势及我国对策研究"(项目编号:12YJCGJW002)
中国博士后科学基金面上一等资助"基于决策者偏好的网络空间威慑学说与战略模型研究"(项目编号:2014M550032)的阶段性成果