山东省产业结构与产业竞争力的实证分析——基于动态偏离份额空间拓展模型

Empirical Analysis of Industry Structure and Industrial Competitiveness in Shandong Based on the Spatial Expansion of DSSM

优化产业结构、提高产业竞争力是促进山东省经济发展的内在驱动力。在系统分析偏离份额模型演变的基础上引入空间要素,应用动态偏离份额空间拓展模型对山东省2002—2011年10年间产业结构和各产业竞争力进行横纵向的实证分析。研究结果表明:较邻近区域而言,山东省第二、三产业产业结构比较合理,产业竞争优势较大。山东省应大力发展海洋科技和旅游业,保持第二、三产业的优势;同时发展高效生态农业,打造核心竞争力。

Industrial structure and its competitiveness are important symbols of the quality and level of regional economic development. Optimizing the industrial structure and improving industry competitiveness are the inner driving forces of re- gional economic development. Based on the systematic analysis of the SSM＇ s evolution and development, the spatial ex- pansion of DSSM was used to carry out comparative analysis horizontally and vertically for the industrial structure and indus- trial competitiveness of Shandong Province from 2002 to 2011. It is concluded that compared with the adjacent areas, the industrial structure of the second industry and the tertiary industry in Shandong Province are more reasonable with more competitive advantages; Instead, the first industry structure is unreasonable, and the industrial competitive advantage is small. So Shandong Province should seize the opportunity of ＂ the strategy of blue and yellow＂ to optimize the industrial structure, develop the marine science and technology and tourism, and keep the advantage of the second and the third in- dustry. At the same time, it should develop efficient ecological agriculture vigorously, improve the competitiveness of the first industry, integrate resources, and build the core competitiveness.