安徽省城镇化与金融发展的关系研究——基于1978~2013年数据

Research on the Relationship between Urbanization and Financial Development in Anhui Province ---Based on the Data of 1978-2013

城镇化是实现现代化的必由之路,而金融支持在推进城镇化进程中的作用日益凸显。通过设立模型,利用协整检验及格兰杰因果检验,实证分析安徽省人口城镇化及工业城镇化与金融发展的关系。研究结果表明,安徽省城镇化与金融发展之间存在长期稳定关系,但金融发展对城镇化的支持作用并不明显。最后提出金融支持安徽省城镇化发展的相关政策建议。

Urbanization is the only way to achieve modernization, and the role of financial support in the process of urbanization has become increasingly prominent. Through the establishment of model, using co-integration and Granger causality test, analysis of the relation of Anhui population urbanization and industrial urbanization and financial development. The results show that there is a long-term stable relationship between financial development and urbanization in Anbui Province, but supports the role of financial development of urbanization is not obvious. Finally, author proposes the relevant policy recommendations of the financial support of urbanization development in Anhui Province.