基于动态变化的山东省鲁南经济带旅游经济空间差异研究

A STUDY ON LUNAN ECONOMIC BELT OF SHANDONG PROVINCE TOURISM ECONOMY SPATIAL DIFFERENCES BASED ON DYNAMIC EVOLUTION

通过采用标准差、变异系数、基尼系数、赫芬达尔指数、绝对集中指数及泰尔指数等指标分析了2004年-2012年山东省鲁南经济带旅游经济的空间差异以及动态演变过程.研究结果表明：首先,鲁南经济带旅游经济绝对差异不断扩大但相对差异逐渐缩小,基尼系数稳步下降.其次,鲁南经济带旅游经济空间差异虽总体上呈下降趋势但绝对集中指数显示旅游经济地域指向性较明显;旅游经济梯度差异逐年缩小,梯度分布相对比较合理.再次,鲁南经济带区域内部旅游经济差异低于济南都市圈但高于胶东半岛城市群,其旅游总收入产值及比重均低于其它两大经济区.根据以上三点研究结论,提出了缩小鲁南经济带区域发展差异,促进地区旅游经济协调发展的建议.

The paper makes use of standard deviation, coefficient of variation, Gini coefficient, Herfindahl index, geographic concentration index and absolute concentration index to analyze the dynamic evolution of regional discrepancies of tourism economy in Lunan Economic Belt of Shandong Province from the year of 2004 to 2012. The result indicates that, firstly, Lunan Economic Belt tourism economy absolute difference expands but relative difference gradually narrows and the Gini coefficient falls steadily. Secondly, Lunan Economic Belt tourism economic space difference is in generally downward trend, but the absolute centralized index displays regional centralization apparent and tourism economic gradient disparity reduces year by year and gradient distribution is relatively reasonable. Thirdly, Lunan Economic Belt region internal tourism economy difference is lower than the Jinan metropolitan area but higher than that of Jiaodong Peninsula city group. Moreover, the total income of tourism value and proportion are lower than those of the other two major economic zones. With the above three results, the advice is suggested to narrow the gap of Lunan Economic Belt development disparity and coordinate the regional tourism economy development.