现代物流与金融关系的实证研究——基于广东省1984-2013年的数据

Empirical Study on Relationship between Modern Logistics and Financial Industries:Based on Data of Guangdong from 1984 to 2013

选取反映1984-2013年广东省代表现代物流业和金融业的指标数据,运用协整理论和格兰杰因果检验,对广东省现代物流与金融关系进行了实证分析。结果表明,两者之间存在着长期稳定的关系,进一步的分析发现,现代物流业发展与金融规模之间存在单向因果关系,与金融效率之间不存在显著的因果关系,并在此基础上对广东省发展现代物流业和金融业提出了相关建议。

In this paper, by selecting the indexes and data that reflected the modern logistics and financial industries of Guangdong for the period between 1984 and 2013, and using the co-integration theory and the Granger causality test, we studied empirically the relationship between the modern logistics and financial industries of the province, found the long-term stable relationship between the two and on such basis, presented some suggestions to promote the development of the modem logistics industry and financial industries of Guangdong.