“中国学”发展的历史逻辑及前景分析

Historical Logic and Prospect Analysis of Development in“Sinology”

广义的"中国学",是指外部世界关于中国历史、现状及未来的分析、解释和预测,主要由汉学和狭义的中国研究构成。几个世纪以来,"中国学"概念的内涵和外延随着地缘政治意义上"中国"的变化而变化。这一近似线性的演进过程,大致符合中国与外部世界关系的变化过程,即,从"中国之中国"到"亚洲之中国",再到"世界之中国"。二者共同衍生出中国学发展的历史逻辑,而该逻辑对未来"中国学"发展的规定性,在很大程度上取决于中国崛起的可持续性。在中国崛起大势下,以共生理念观之,未来"中国学"和"中国学"研究大有可为,或将呈现三个主要发展趋向。

＂Sinology＂ in broad sense refers to the analysis, explanation and forecast of Chinese history, situation andfuture made by international community, mainly composed of sinology and China studies in narrow sense. Over late centuries,the concept of ＂sinology＂ has changed in Such a quasi-linear evolution roughly accords with change in relation between Chinaand rest of the world, namely from ＂Chinese China＂ to ＂Asian China＂further to ＂cosmopolitan China＂, from which thehistorical logic of sinology development to prescribe ＂sinology＂development in the future which is determined by sustainableChina＇s rise. As China is rising, future＇s ＂sinology＂ and ＂China studies＂ promise a bright future or take on three majordevelopment trends viewed in eommensalism.