中国制造业国际竞争力再考察——基于增值贸易与传统贸易统计方法比较视角

The Inspection Of International Competitiveness About China's Manufacturing Industry——Based On The Comparative Perspective Between Value-Added Trade Statistical Methods And Traditional Trade Statistical Methods

针对传统贸易流量统计数据"重复计算",导致一国制造业国际竞争力测算所造成的"失实"现象,本文从增值贸易视角,利用WTO-OECD联合发布增值贸易数据,采用CA指数对1995-2009年中国制造业国际竞争力变化进行了重新考察,并与利用传统贸易统计数据计算的中国制造业国际竞争力变化进行了比较。结果表明:以增值贸易统计数据计量的中国制造业国际竞争力,与以传统贸易统计数据测算的结果表现出显著差异,在多个制造业部门甚至出现国际竞争力"逆转"现象。显示出利用增值贸易来考察中国制造业国际竞争力,具有重要的现实意义。

There exist some kinds of ＂double counting＂ issue of traditional trade flows statistics, so it is diffi- cult to truly reflect the international competitiveness of the national manufacturing.In the view of Value-added trade, the paper use CA index to re-investigated the changes in the international competitiveness of China＇s manufacturing industry between 1995-2009 by the value-added trade data released by WTO-OECD, then compared with the result of traditional trade statistics calculation.The results as follows： there are significant differ- ences of China＇s manufacturing industry international competitiveness between value-added trade statistical methods and traditional trade statistical methods, the international competitiveness in several manufacturing sectors is diametrically opposed to the traditional.