社会安全与贸易投资环境：现有研究与新可能性

Social Safety and Trade and Investment Environment:Current Study and New Possibilities

贸易投资便利性的"主观判断"和"客观取舍"之间的冲突已然常见,却未能引起学术上的充分探究和理论修正。目前通行的衡量标准、评估体系和简单化指数均无法充分解释丰富多样且不断变动的国际贸易投资实践。本文从现有的社会安全衡量因素出发,讨论社会安全与贸易投资环境的关系,通过初步分析既有社会安全衡量指标的不足,提出投资对象国的人口年龄结构、投资方的获利模式以及国家间政治互信程度、文化差异等部分新变量,以期引起同行的争论,推动对社会安全与贸易投资二者关系的学术研究更加深入、多维且更具实际解释力。

There has long been a debate regarding the conflict between 'subjective judgment and'objective decision-making' of trade and investment facilitation.However,it has failed to arouse sufficient discussion and theoretical correction in the academic circle.The current mainstream standards,evaluation systems and commonly used indices have all failed to explain multiple types of international trade and investment practices that are undergoing constant changes.The failure may be explained partially by the relatively premature social safety stuthes and partially by the diversification of economic stuthes.From the perspective of existing social safety assessment factors,this paper looks at the relationship between social safety and international trade and investment environment.Based on analysis of the deficiencies of the existing social safety assessment indicators,it puts forward some new variables and factors,such as demographic structure,profit-making model,level of political mutual trust among different countries,and cultural difference,to try to arouse more scholarly discussions and lead to more thorough,multi-angle and explainable stuthes of the relationship between social safety and trade and investment.