巴基斯坦在未来阿富汗局势中的作用

Pakistan's Role for the Prospect of Afghanistan

美国撤军使阿富汗未来局势走向的不确定性增大,主要看点集中在政治和谈、反恐和重建等方面。巴基斯坦对阿富汗具有独特影响力,其对阿富汗未来局势的作用取决于伊斯兰堡对一系列涉及其核心利益问题的判断,包括战略纵深问题、悬而未决的杜兰线问题、与巴现行安全战略的一致性问题、阿富汗新联合政府所能提供的机会、巴国内的挑战问题等。阿富汗稳定符合巴国家利益,巴从多方面努力促进与阿合作,支持阿富汗的和平谈判与重建。

American withdrawal left Afghanistan in greater uncertainty in terms of political negotiations, anti-terrorism and reconstruction. Pakistan has unique influence over Afghanistan, whose future depends on Islamabad＇ s responses to a range of issues revolving around its core interests, including strategic depth, Durand Line, consistency of current security strategy towards Afghanistan, opportunities provided by the new coalition government in Afghanistan, and domestic issues in Pakistan. Afghanistan＇ s stabilization conforms to Pakistan＇ s national interest, and various efforts should be made by Pakistan to promote cooperation with Afghanistan, supporting its peace talks and reconstruction.