基于比较优势理论的湖北省竞技体育实力分析及发展研究

Study on Competitive Sports Strength in Hubei Province Based on the Theory of Comparative Advantage

运用文献资料法、数理统计法、逻辑分析法等方法,并借鉴经济学比较优势理论,以第4～12届全运会比赛湖北省奖牌获得项目为研究对象,对湖北省竞技体育实力进行了研究.结果表明,湖北省在全运会中的核心项目是网球、皮划艇和赛艇;有18项为比较优势项目,12项为比较潜优势项目,其中比较优势项目群主要集中在技战能主导类运动项目和技心主导类项目,而比较潜优势项目群则主要分布在体能主导类项目,举重、体操、跳水、羽毛球、乒乓球和网球是奥运会夺金项目;湖北省男、女子各等级项目群均处于动态变化之中,比较而言,男子赛艇、皮划艇和网球等项目优势较为突出,女子各等级项目群与男子不尽相同,但同样表现出“间断性” 特征.巩固传统优势项目、分层发展潜优势项目等皆是有益对策.

With the methods of literature,mathematical statistics and logical analysis,based on the theory of comparative advantage in economics,medal-winning games in the 4~12th national games of Hubei Province are analyzed.The results show that its corn games are tennis,canoe and rowing of the provincial team.There are 18 comparatively superior games and 12 comparatively potentially-superior games,among which the comparatively superior games mainly focus on the technically and tactically dominated games and the skill dominated games,while the projects of comparatively potentially-superior groups are mainly of weight lifting,gym,diving,badminton,ping-pong and tennis which are the gold medal winning projects for Olympic Games.Hubei province's man and woman grading games are in dynamic changes.Comparatively,man's rowing,canoe and tennis are more outstanding of comparative advantage.Woman's grading games are differences with them,but it presents the'discontinuity'characteristics,the beneficial countermeasures are strengthening traditionally superior games and developing layered potentially superior games.