工业化进程中能源资源需求变化趋势研究

The Study on Demand Changes Tendency of Energy and Resources in the Process of Industrialization

当前我国正处于工业化、城镇化加快发展的阶段,巨大的人口与产业基数,长期的粗放型发展模式,使得我国工业发展所受到的资源和环境约束比世界上其他国家更为显著。正确认识能源资源消耗与工业化之间的响应关系,对我国未来能源资源消耗进行合理预期,是促进发展方式转变、实现能源资源效率提升的基础。本文通过对比分析国内外能源资源消耗的主要差异,研究总结了主要国家工业化进程中的能源资源需求变化规律。基于此,对于我国制定科学合理的工业化发展战略、选择未来工业化发展模式,提出了相关建议。

China is in the rapid process of urbanization and industrialization. Under the huge burden of population and extensive pattern of economic growth, Resources and environmental constraints of China is far more grim compared with other countries in the process of industrialization. In order to promote the transformation of development mode and to enhance the energy resources efficiency, it is the basic to master the response relationship between energy resources consumption and industrialization. Also is to foresee China＇s future energy resource consumption. Through analysis differences between China and other countries in the industrialized process, the basic rule of energy resources consumption of energy resources is obtained. Based on this, this paper gives some suggestion on scientific and rational development strategy, and on the China＇s future industrial develooment pattern choice and road.