中国区域城镇化差异及成因解释

Research on Regional Urbanization Difference and Cause of Formation in China

立足于中国式行政主导城镇化发展内涵,借助2002-2012年分省份面板数据展开经验检验。研究发现,省份内部和省际对城镇化差异的贡献率已经稳定在50%左右;大一统的城镇化战略是差异形成的主因,作用机制和渠道已经趋于固化;先导性战略布局的作用显著,经验上证实了区域城镇化梯度差异及格局重塑存在路径依赖的立论成立。因此,为实现全国联动的城镇化发展目标,未来东部沿海高城镇化水平省份应当深度推进城镇化战略,中西部内陆低城镇化水平省份可以继续实施城市化战略。

In order to the understanding the formation mechanism of China＇s regional urbanization, taking an empirical test with provincial panel data from the year 2002 to 2012, is very different. The results show that internal and inter provincial contribution rate has stabilized at around 50%; in the aspects of urbanization strategy mechanism, the influence and the channel tends to curing. By controlling the effect of regional investment and the level of economic development, the strategy changing of urbanization is the main cause for the urbanization differences, the strategic leading layout effect. The central and local different path selection mechanism can realize rapid urbanization process interpretation experience confirms the regional urbanization pattern there is path-dependent.